Russia Considers a Ban on Uranium Exports - $UUUU, $CCJ, $LEU, $DNN - SOAR
Welcome to Issue 074 of Masters in Trading Digest.
It’s not uncommon to see Unusual Trading Activity first in the options market and then days later, the media releases news, and the stock moves.
That’s what happened to our Uranium trades. We see the options activity first, and Russia threatens to be Uranium exports. I’ve seen this movie many times throughout my career… options trade first (front running) news comes out second.
The examples in today’s Master in Trading Digest walk you through this unscrupulous activity.
Enjoy the Digest.
Energy Wars
Russia is the third-largest source of U.S Uranium
Just this past February, the United States instituted a ban on most Russian energy exports with one special carve out for Russian uranium suppliers for the simple reason that the US is very dependent on Russia for its nuclear power plant needs.
Russia is the third-largest source of U.S. uranium, accounting for about 16.5% of total U.S. uranium imports in 2020 and 23% of the enriched uranium needed to power US commercial nuclear reactors.
Wall Street Wiretapper, our AI-powered Unusual Options Activity scanner, started noticing unusual options trading in Uranium in May 2022.
The scan below goes back 4 years looking for unusual trading behavior in $CCJ and finds 18 results; 6 of those results happened between 04/26/22 – 05/04/22.
We weren’t certain why Wall Street Wiretapper was seeing these weird options trades. Regardless, it was clear someone was making a play in Uranium, so we hopped on the trade. This is the smoke, now we need to find the fire.
Now we see the reason for the rally…
One month after the U.S. banned Russian uranium exports, Russia is now considering a ban on Uranium exports; this is still just a “threat.”
And, it’s causing all of our Uranium stocks to rally.
We continue to be EXTREMELY Bullish on all Uranium names:
- $LEU
- $CCJ
- $DNN
- $UUUU
WEBINAR - RECORDING - WATCH NOW
Masters in Trading Digest - Issue 74
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UNUSUAL OPTIONS ACTIVTY - $SWBI
Wall Street Wiretapper notices Unusual Trading in $SWBI.
The detail below is from a tool called Profit On the Perimeter. The benefit to this tool is it helps traders see the kind of move a stock is capable of.
If we want to know how many times $SWBI has moved 10% in the last 5 years, we can ask POP.
Answer: $SWBI has moved >10% 29x in the last 5 years.
What else did we learn?
- On average, 10%+ up moves have been 18.54%
- On average, 10%+ down moves have been -28.72%
- Average Bars Between 10% moves = 36.84
- Bars since last move = 66
- Last 4 moves of 10% or more were down
My guess: $SWBI rallys. Curious to hear the members' thoughts in our Discord.
FINAL THOUGHTS
WHAT TO EXPECT IN THE NEXT MIT DIGEST
Important Announcement: This Friday, June 10th, we will hold a special Equity EDGE class. For those of you who are NOT part of our MIT Futures Program and want to attend this session, get a one-time class pass.
Keep your feedback coming into support@mastersintrading.com. We’re excited to share your feedback along with fantastic suggestions for upcoming issues.
Until then, trade smart and always manage your tail-risk.
Thanks for reading,
Jonathan Rose
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